AXIOM

Wildfire is running 157% of average, and it's not just the West

Archive story from the 2026-07-16 edition. This is the reporting as filed; source publication and event dates may differ. Check the dated storyline for subsequent developments.

Wildfire burned 3.1 million acres by June 30, 157% of the ten-year average, and moved outside its usual geography.

3,168,102 acres burned as of June 30 to 157% of the 10-year average. The season broke out of its usual geography: Nebraska's largest fire on record (March), and Georgia's worst wildfire home losses (April, 50k+ acres, 120+ homes). Extreme heat now tops American weather fears, with drought, wildfire, and smoke close behind. Wildfire is the fastest-growing CAT peril globally, insured losses climbing ~12%/year.

Why it matters

Fire, smoke, and post-fire IAQ work is expanding into markets that have never had it. If you're outside the traditional wildfire West, this is a service-line question you now have to answer.

Our assessment

Acreage numbers read as a western problem and a headline. The part that should change your plan is the geography: record fires in Nebraska and heavy home losses in Georgia mean fire and smoke work is arriving in markets that never had it. Do not buy a fleet on a forecast. Get two techs trained to the fire and smoke standard and price one smoke job properly.

My reading list

Saved stories and followed topics stay in this browser. No account sync or email alerts.

Regulator/Gov / Trade press High confidence at publication

What changed

Storyline: CAT & wildfire

What changed geography broke out of the West; heat/smoke now the top public weather fear.

Read next

Get your inbox wet

Every edition of the news that makes us wet, straight to your inbox. News first, clearly labeled AXIOM promotion, and no spam; unsubscribe any time.